Predictions Based on Date of Birth
accurate predictions of the future
Do you know of any “realistic” sci-fi books?
I’m very new to sci-fi books, but browsing through the book store it seems like most of the genre has to do with spaceships, set like 500 years into the future, or something about dragons and swords. I really like movies such as The Matrix, Gattaca, District-9, etc. Are there any similar books? I like science fiction that “could” happen, if you know what I mean.
Realistic Sci-fi is called Hard science fiction, or “hard SF”. It is characterized by rigorous attention to accurate detail in quantitative sciences, especially physics, astrophysics, and chemistry, or on accurately depicting worlds that more advanced technology may make possible. Many accurate predictions of the future come from the hard science fiction subgenre, but numerous inaccurate predictions have emerged as well. Some hard SF authors have distinguished themselves as working scientists, including Gregory Benford and Geoffrey A. Landis, while mathematician authors include Rudy Rucker and Vernor Vinge. Other noteworthy hard SF authors include Hal Clement, Greg Bear, Larry Niven, Robert J. Sawyer, Stephen Baxter, and Greg Egan.
James Blish, Surface Tension (1952), (Book 3 of The Seedling Stars )
Tom Godwin, The Cold Equations (1954)
Poul Anderson, Kyrie (1968)
Frederik Pohl, Day Million (1971)
Larry Niven, Inconstant Moon (1971) and The Hole Man (1974)
Geoffrey A. Landis, A Walk in the Sun (1991)
Vernor Vinge, Fast Times at Fairmont High (2001)
Hal Clement, Mission of Gravity (1953)
Arthur C. Clarke, A Fall of Moondust (1961)
Poul Anderson, Tau Zero (1970)
James P. Hogan, The Two Faces of Tomorrow (1979)
Robert L. Forward, Dragon’s Egg (1980)
Charles Sheffield, Between the Strokes of Night (1985)
Kim Stanley Robinson, The Mars trilogy (Red Mars (1992), Green Mars (1993), Blue Mars (1996))
Nancy Kress, Beggars in Spain (1993)[
Alastair Reynolds Revelation Space (2000)
Greg Egan, Schild’s Ladder (2002)
does economics have a conclusion? or it is it simply just a prediction?
arent economists simply predicting what is going to happen. so there is no conclusion in economics, right? but if economics has conclusion, is it temporary? that is, will it be refuted in future?
Economists try to explain how goods and services in an economy are produced, consumed and distributed, how scarce resources are allocated and how participants in an economy (consumers, producers, banks, governments, etc.) interact with each other. From observation and measurement they develop a theory why certain things happen in an economy. For instance, why do prices go up when the government prints more money. Different schools of economists draw different, sometimes conflicting, conclusions from what they observe in the real world.
Once the economists believe that they have found a viable explanation of what happens in an economy, they will try to make predictions of the future state of the economy, based on the current observations.
For instance, economists have concluded that an increase of the money supply will lead to inflation. The prediction is then that if the current US government is buying treasury bonds in the market, it will increase the money circulating in the economy and create higher inflation in the future.
Unfortunately, reality has shown that in general economists are much better in explaining past events than making accurate predictions of the future!
accurate predictions of the future/
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